Contagion 1855: How the Crimean War Felled San Francisco’s Largest Banks

2019-02-09T14:50:11+00:00

When policymakers analyze banking crises, they often search for diagnostic clues in the specific environment in which they occurred. This paper analyzes the 1855 failures of the largest banks in Gold Rush San Francisco, arguing that the antecedents of those failures — excessive leverage, interlocking ownership, inadequate segregation of assets, and concentration of risk in non- banking enterprises — were independent of the monetary and economic regime in place at the time. Those antecedents exposed Gold Rush bankers to external risks originating in events in which they had no involvement, and over which they had no control. The external events that felled the largest banks in San Francisco emerged from the Crimean War.

Cannon to right of them,
Cannon to left of them,
Cannon in front of them
Volleyed and thundered

—Alfred, Lord Tennyson,
“The Charge of the Light Brigade”, 1854

Click the image to download “Contagion” by Dr. Tiemann